BALANCING, CHALLENGES, AND OPPORTUNITIES: KAZAKHSTAN’S MULTI-VECTOR FOREIGN POLICY AFTER UKRAINE CRISIS

Authors

  • Miao Wang (Corresponding Author) Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, Heilongjiang, China.

Keywords:

Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine Crisis, Multi-vector Foreign Policy

Abstract

Kazakhstan has long pursued a multi-vector foreign policy, balancing relations with major powers like Russia, China, and the West. However, the Ukraine Crisis and escalating Russia-West tensions challenged this approach. This article examines how the crisis impacted Kazakhstan's multi-vector diplomacy. It analyzes Kazakhstan's efforts to preserve economic and security ties with Russia while maintaining favorable Western relations. Kazakhstan's strategy involves distancing from Russia, intensifying collaboration with China, cautiously engaging the U.S. and Europe, and strengthening Central Asian partnerships. The future trajectory of its multi-vector policy hinges on adapting to regional shifts while safeguarding national interests. The article illuminates complexities small and medium states face in pursuing autonomous foreign policies amid multipolar rivalries. It enhances understanding of how such states navigate major power conflicts to uphold sovereignty and strategic autonomy. The analysis contributes insights into foreign policy dynamics in post-Soviet Eurasia.

References

[1] Kassen, Maxat Understanding Foreign Policy Strategies of Kazakhstan: A Case Study of the Landlocked and Transcontinental Country. Cambridge Review of International Affairs. 2018, 31 (3-4): 314-343. https://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2018.1520809.

[2] Sullivan, Charles J. End of an Era? Kazakhstan and the Fate of Multivectorism. In Kazakhstan and the Soviet Legacy, edited by Jean-Fran?ois Caron. 2019, 31-50. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan.

[3] Yuneman, Ruslan A. Kazakhstan's Multi-Vector Foreign Policy. Russia in Global Affairs. 2023, 21 (2): 141–162. https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-141-162.

[4] Hanks, Reuel R. Multi-vector Politics and Kazakhstan's Emerging Role as a Geo-strategic Player in Central Asia. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies. 2009, 11 (3): 259. https://doi.org/10.1080/19448950903152110.

[5] Contessi, Nicola P. Foreign and Security Policy Diversification in Eurasia: Issue Splitting, Co-alignment, and Relational Power. Problems of Post-Communism. 2015, 62 (5): 301. https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2015.1026788.

[6] Cooley, Alexander Great Games, Local Rules: The New Great Power Contest in Central Asia. New York, NY: Oxford University Press. 2012.

[7] Cutler, Robert M. The Sources of Kazakhstani Conduct. In Continuity and Change in Central and Inner Asia, edited by Michael Gervers and Wayne Schlepp. Toronto: University of Toronto Asian Institute. 2002.

[8] Hindley, Brian. Kazakhstan and the World Economy: An Assessment of Kazakhstan's Trade Policy and Pending Accession to the WTO. European Centre for International Political Economy. 2008, 1-3.

[9] Nazarbaev, Nursultan. Strategiia stanovleniia I razvitiia Kazakhstana kak suverennogo gosudarstva. Kazakhstanskaya Pravda. May 16, 1992.

[10] Valiyev, Anar, and Narmina Mamishova. Azerbaijan's Foreign Policy Towards Russia Since Independence: Compromise Achieved. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies. 2019, 19 (2): 269–291. https://doi.org/10.1080/14683857.2019.1578053.

[11] Libman, Alexander, and Anastassia V. Obydenkova. Regional International Organizations as a Strategy of Autocracy: The Eurasian Economic Union and Russian Foreign Policy. International Affairs. 2018, 94 (5): 1037–1058. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiy147.

[12] National Bank (National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan). Daily Official (Market) Foreign Exchange Rates. National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Accessed. March 13, 2024. https://nationalbank.kz/en/exchangerates/ezhednevnye-oficialnye-rynochnye-kursy-valyut.

[13] Memleket (Ministry of Energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan). The Minister of Energy of Kazakhstan met with the EU delegation. Ministry of Energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/energo/press/news/details/549595?lang=ru&ysclid=lo9krnnqo6493022258.

[14] IMF (International Monetary Fund). Kazakhstan Inflation Rate. International Monetary Fund. Accessed March 13, 2024. https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PCPIPCH@WEO/KAZ?zoom=KAZ&highlight=KAZ.

[15] Debevoise & Plimpton. The Growing Prominence of Kazakhstan as a Destination for Foreign Direct Investment in the Post-Soviet Space. Debevoise & Plimpton. Accessed March 13, 2024. https://www.debevoise.com/-/media/files/insights/publications/2023/04/06_the-growing-prominence-of-kazakhstan.pdf?rev=58e0688097c74fa483f6d4a7d7a15f5d.

[16] Kremlin. Media Statements by Presidents of Russia and Kazakhstan. President of Russia. Accessed March 13, 2024. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/72706.

[17] RGRU. Record of conversation between Vladimir Putin and participants of the "Selig-2014" forum. RGRU. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://rg.ru/2014/08/30/stenogramma.html.

[18] Exclusive. Drobnitsky: The next question is Kazakhstan. Exclusive. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://exclusive.kz/drobniczkij-sleduyushhaya-problema-kazahstan/.

[19] Arbat Media. The Russian ambassador said that nationalism and radical slogans have occupied Kazakhstan. Arbat Media. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://arbatmedia.kz/vaznoe-v-kazaxstane/rossiiskii-posol-zayavil-cto-nacionalisticeskie-i-radikalnye-lozungi-zaxvatili-kazaxstan-4412.

[20] Makhmutova, Meruert. Kazakhstan: Perspectives on Eurasian Integration. European Council on Foreign Relations. June 8, 2016. https://ecfr.eu/article/essay_eurasian_integration_kazakhstan/.

[21] Dragneva, Rilka, and Kataryna Wolczuk. The Eurasian Economic Union Deals, Rules and the Exercise of Power. Chatham House. May 2, 2017. https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/publications/research/2017-05-02-eurasian-economic-union-dragneva-wolczuk.pdf.

[22] Isaacs, Rico. Russia–Kazakhstan Relations and the Tokayev–Nazarbayev Tandem. Russian Analytical Digest 248. 2020. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/305118582.pdf.

[23] Adilet (Legal System of Normative Legal Behavior Information in the Republic of Kazakhstan). Concept of Foreign Policy of the Republic of Kazakhstan from 2014 to 2020. The legal system of normative legal behavior information in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://adilet.zan.kz/rus/docs/U1400000741.

[24] Russian News Agency. Tokayev pointed out that visiting Russia has profound political significance. Russian News Agency. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://ria.ru/20221128/tokaev-1834760159.html.

[25] Memleket (?аза?стан Республикасы Сырт?ы ?стер министрл?г?). 2022. Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, A.S., reported the situation. Astana, December 28, 2022. Republic of Kazakhstan. Accessed March 15, 2024. https://www.gov.kz/memleket/entities/mfa/press/news/details/482707?lang=kk.

Downloads

Published

2024-03-22

How to Cite

Wang, M. (2024). Balancing, Challenges, And Opportunities: Kazakhstan’s Multi-Vector Foreign Policy After Ukraine Crisis. Eurasia Journal of Science and Technology, 2(2), 89-97. https://doi.org/10.61784/tsshrv2n2105