Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics.
Open Access

US-CHINA STRATEGIC COMPETITION AND THE INEVITABLE THUCYDIDES TRAP

Download as PDF

Volume 2, Issue 6, Pp 33-42, 2024

DOI: 10.61784/tsshr3054

Author(s)

Raheel Khan1, Shakir Ullah2*, Muhammad Suliman1, Muhammad Sheraz Naveed1

Affiliation(s)

1Department of Political Science, Government Post Graduate College Timergara, University of Malakand, Lower Dir District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 18800, Pakistan.

2Visiting Lecturer and Research Supervisor, Department of Political Science at GPGC Timergara, University of Malakand, Lower Dir District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 18800, Pakistan.

Corresponding Author

Shakir Ullah

ABSTRACT

The ongoing competition and rivalry between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China is the defining issue of the 21st century in international relations. Both the great powers have been engaged in a strategic competition often referred to by some scholars as the New Cold War. The US wants to maintain its status quo with it as the world’s sole superpower. However, China’s rise has challenged the United States’ hegemony as well as its ‘New World Order’, and is in favor of a multi-polar world order where it could have also the same level of influence. The competition between the two powers encompasses various domains from trade and technology to military and influence. When a rising power challenges the hegemony of an existing power the dilemma it creates is known as Thucydides’ Trap. The Indo-Pacific region is the center of competition between both the great powers. Key issues between both the countries in the Indo-Pacific region include the South China Sea Disputes, the Taiwan Issue, and China’s growing assertiveness. The intense competition between both the great powers and various maritime and territorial disputes between China and several other US allies such as Taiwan can potentially lead to a military conflict between the US and China. This qualitative research focuses on all those factors that could potentially lead to a military conflict between the US and China in the Indo-Pacific region under the theoretical framework of Thucydides’ Trap. An instance of Germany and Britain is used to prove that the current rivalry between the US and China has the potential to lead to a military conflict between them. 

KEYWORDS

US-China; Strategic competition, South China Sea; Possible war; Indo-Pacific; Thucydides' Trap

CITE THIS PAPER

Raheel Khan, Shakir Ullah, Muhammad Suliman, Muhammad Sheraz Naveed. US-China strategic competition and the inevitable Thucydides Trap. Trends in Social Sciences and Humanities Research. 2024, 2(6): 33-42. DOI: 10.61784/tsshr3054.

REFERENCES

[1] Allison, G. Debating The Thucydides Trap. In R. N. Miller, The Next Great War: The Roots of World War I and The Risk of US-China Conflict. Belfer Center Studies in International Security, 2014, pp. 73-102.

[2] Allison, G. China Sees China Sea. In G. Allison, Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company, 2017, pp. 136-138.

[3] Mearsheimer, J J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York: W.W. Norton and Company, 2001.

[4] Jalil, G Y. China's Rise: Offensive or Defensive Realism. Strategic Studies, 2019, 39(1): 41-58.

[5] Blackwill, R D. US Grand Strategy Toward China. Implementing Grand Strategy Toward China: Twenty-Two U.S. Policy Prescriptions. Council on Foreign Relations, 2020. 

[6] Riaz, S. Sino-US Relations: Implications for Pakistan, 2016.

[7] He, K. Explaining United States-China relations: Neo-classical realistic and the nexus of threat-interest perceptions. The Pacific Review, 2016, 30(2): 133-151. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2016.1201130.

[8] Ross, R S. (Ed.). After the Cold War: Domestic Factors and US-China Relations. New York: Routledge, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315502298.

[9] Ye, X. To Engage or Not to Engage? Explaining the Logic of the US’s China Strategy in the Post-Cold War Era. Journal of Chinese Political Science, 2021, 26, 449-484. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11366-021-09726-7.

[10] Zhao, M. Is a New Cold War Inevitable? Chinese Perspectives on US-China Strategic Competition. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, 2019, 12(3): 371-394. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poz010.

[11] Doshi, R. What Does America Want From China? Foreign Affairs Magazine, 2024, 103, 174-187.

[12] Glaser, C L. Fear Factor. Foreign Affairs, 2024, 103, 122-128.

[13] Larisa Kapustina, ?udmila Lipková, Yakov Silin, et al. (2020). US-China Trade War: Causes and Outcomes. SHS Conferences. EDP Sciences, 2020, 73(1):01012. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf /20207301012.

[14] Dalio, R. US-China Relations and the Wars. In R. Dalio, The Changing World Order. New York: Avid Reader Press, 2021, pp. 321-348.

[15] Ihor Mykhalsky, Olena Balatska, Dmytro Nefodov, et al. The influence of US-China relations on the current geopolitical situation. Amazonia Investiga, 2023, 12(68): 372-381. DOI: https://doi.org/10.34069/AI/2023.68.08.34.

[16] Muhammad Usman Askari, Muhammad Tahir. Sino-US Rivalry in the South China Sea: A Hegemonic Stability Theory Perspective. Journal of Politics and International Studies, 2020, 6, 115-127.

[17] Derek Grossman, Jhon Speed Meyers. Minding the Gaps: US Military Strategy towards China. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 2019, 13(4): 105-121.

[18] Mohd Akhter Ali, M. Kamraju. Indo-Pacific Significance: A Study on Geopolitical Impact on India and China. International Journal of Law and Politics Studies, 2019, 1(1): 5-9.

[19] Khan, M. US Indo-Pacific Strategy: Implications for South Asia. Strategic Studies, 2021, 41(1): 53-66.

[20] Erti Fadhilah Putri, Kukuh Setyo, Pambudi, et al. Analysis of the Increasing US-China Military Tension in the South China Sea and the Challenges for Indonesia. International Journal of Social Science and Religion, 2020, 1, 187-198.

[21] Khan, R A. India-Middle East-Europe Corridor (IMEC): Rhetoric, Realities And Implications For Pakistan. Margalla Papers, 2024, 28(1): 75-92. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54690/margallapapers.28.1.241.

[22] Tanaka, H. Managing the US-China Strategic Rivalry. Japan Center for International Exchange. East Asia Insights, 2018.

[23] John Hinck, Brian Ashburn, Thomas Heier, et al. A US Response to China’s Aggression in the South China Sea and Overall Aim of Information Dominance. Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs, 2021, 362-378.

[24] Rudd, K. The Avoidable War: Reflections on US-China Relations and the End of Strategic Engagement. Asia Society Policy Institute, 2019, 1-89.

[25] Syed Kamran Hamid Hashmi, Babar Bilal Haider, Iram Zahid. Major Powers’ Interests in IOR And Implications for The Region. Journal of Nautical Eye & Strategic Studies, 2023, 3(2): 87-103. DOI: https://doi.org/10.58932/MULG0025.

All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. sitemap
Copyright © 2017 - 2024 Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics.   All Rights Reserved.